Moby Dick, Pretty Good Planning and the Way

I finished Moby Dick recently and it wasn’t quite what I was expected.   From popular culture I was expecting an action-packed story about Captain Ahab’s hunt for the white whale coupled with some deep ruminations on human nature.  While there is definitely suspenseful moments and fair share of human nature commentary,  at least half the book is almost like a textbook: a deep dive on whales and the whaling industry.  This serves some literary purpose for sure, but finishing the book left me wondering WHY this has stood the test of time?

I read the intro and got my answer: The book hasn’t stood the test of time.  By that I mean it wasn’t a big hit in its day; it wasn’t until the early/mid 1900s or so (almost a century after is was published) that it started becoming a bigger part of the canon that we know of today.  Furthermore, and a better, deeper answer, is that the book is about more than just the excitement of chasing an almost mythic beast.  Captain Ahab’s monomaniacal focus on Moby Dick is not used to show the danger of taking an idea or obsession to an extreme, but to illustrate a more tragic and mysterious elements of the human condition: that we can continue with our obsessions even when we know we are headed for trouble.  In other words, it’s not that a monomaniacal focus can blind us to the danger, rather we become defenseless to stop ourselves even though we know full well what the danger is.

Ahab is contrasted with Ishmael, the narrator and sole survivor of the doomed voyage.  Ishmael goes with the flow, as it were.   His decision to join the crew of the Pequod is not based on a calculation, but a feeling he has that it’s time for him to go back to sea.   He doesn’t research which ship to go on, but goes to the docks and finds one.   It’s not to say that doesn’t think about his actions, but he employs more of a form of pretty good planning: not trying to focus so much on one goal and a linear path to achieve it, but a general goal with just enough planning to make a good amount of forward progress.

Going with the flow, I happened to pick up a book just at the tail end of reading Moby Dick that’s about finding purpose or focus in one’s life; finding one’s “Life work.” (“Let Your Life Speak”, by Parker Palmer). I’m still in the middle of it, but one of the key ideas is that life’s purpose will not come about from trying to sit and plan it out based on set of criteria like your strengths, interests and goals.  Rather, you’re much more likely to find “the way” by reflecting on past decisions and understanding what is NOT “the way.”  In other words,  you need to sort of allow life to happen somewhat in order to see whether you are going on the right or wrong or path.  You can’t force a path towards something that makes sense on paper if it’s not authentic to who you really are.  Rather, you need to discover the path by gradually recognizing what has been inside you all along.  You can get this point by reflecting your past and see what “way closes” behind you.

Tying some of these threads together: it took time for Moby Dick to emerge as the iconic American Tale that we know of today.   Was it because we needed more time as a people understand the depth of meaning in the book? That it wasn’t until we spent many years trying to control our destiny only to rebuffed again and again that we  could intuitively grasp the deeper meaning that this was not simply about catching a whale, but the hard truth that everyone and everything has a limit?   But what is the energy, the inertia, that keeps someone chasing a target they know will only end up in their destruction? That is a discussion for another post.

 

Life Time

I was thinking about 10 years ago. It didn’t seem like a long time from an intuitive / gut perspective, but it’s actually almost 25% of my life. Really more than that when you factor in that I don’t really remember much until some points in elementary school.  So a good chunk of my life has passed over 10 years, yet it feels much less than the time from high school / college.

I think it’s related to life events.  For me, there’s a big distinction pre and post-business school.   Everything post business school seems to have happened relatively recently, even though that was 8 years ago now. While everything before it seems to belong to much younger version of myself.

I imagine other people have different break points depending on certain critical events in their lives.  I’m at a point where I need to have another break point in my Life Time.

the Fierverker Rule

Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize that half of them are stupider than that.” – George Carlin

Along similar lines, a family friend named Alan Fierverker once remarked on the outcome of some political issues of the day by saying: “You know, half the country is below average IQ.”   It’s tongue and cheek, but the point rings true if you’ve ever been baffled by the collective actions of society at large.  However you define intelligence, half the people are by definition below average, so we must set our expectations and act accordingly.  I  now invoke the “Fierverker Rule” as an explanatory axiom whenever friends and colleagues express confusion at the disconnect between logical courses of action and what they observe people to be doing.

This perhaps comes across as elitist bilge.  Who’s to say who’s an idiot?  It’s always a matter of perspective, some might say.  Perhaps.  But ignore that for now because there is a deeper, richer way to consider the Fierverker rule.    Rather than thinking of intelligence generically, as a fixed quantity that you posses, think of it in specific areas: there’s intelligence around things like Math and Science, which is pretty easy to quantify.  But there’s also intelligence around things like Business or Software development, which are tougher to quantify.   And then even more abstract things like Art or music.

What I’m getting is that even you didn’t get straight As in school, there’s probably an area where you’re in the top half of intelligence.  And it’s important to keep in mind that at least half the people will need to some extra help to understand what seems to come easily to you.

Conversely, even if you’re in the top 1% of something, you’re probably in the bottom half of something else.  So wipe the smirk off your face that emerged when  reading the George Carlin quote.  You might have done something this week that someone else thinks is definition of idiocy.

 

 

When to “Just Do Something”

“Just Do Something” is rarely an effective strategy for solving problems.  When a problem arises, there can be a urge to “just do something” because then at least you’re not just sitting still.  It’s feels like you’re making progress towards a solution, but that’s not always the case.  Hemingway talks about “never mistake motion for progress” and Shane Parrish talks about “velocity vs. speed.”   So rather than jumping into action, you should pause and use your brain to make sure your actions are the best option to make progress against the problem, not just “something”.

HOWEVER, there are situations where “just do something” is the right approach. I think if the below conditions apply, then this is the right strategy.

  1. Negligible Information:  When solving a problem it’s best to gather some information on the situation, develop a hypothesis, and think through the impact (what will the side effects be? does this course of action really solve our root issue or just a symptom? Is it worth the costs?).  However, if you have little to no information from which to build a hypothesis, then you cannot do this.  By definition, you would need MORE information in order to form a thoughtful hypotheses.  “Doing something,” without intention or reason, while unlikely to solve your problem,  will at least provide you some feedback and information about the situation Which could then lead to a better solution.
  2. Ability to Correct: Even if you do not know whether the proposed solution will solve the problem, you should take care it doesn’t make the problem worse.  You should ask yourself how reversible is this course of action if we move forward. Ideally, you should be able to reverse or mitigate any impacts when moving on a course of action.

So be thoughtful when you “do something.” Be mindful of whether your actions are the result of well-reasoned hypotheses or if you need to act to gain more information.

 

 

“How Google Works”

Whenever a company dominates an industry for many years and continues attract top talent, it pays to examine how they operate.  Google is one such company.    Eric Schmidt and Jonathan Rosenberg wrote it all down in a book called “How Google Works.”

The book has a lot of tactical advice about things like fostering innovation, designing products, hiring and retaining talent, and decision-making, but I think there is an underlying philosophy common to all the advice: Invest time and money in Going Deep to find the best solution to the problem.

That might seem simple, obvious, and probably something all companies claim to do.  But you probably know that’s more talk than action.   Think of losing weight, it’s simple: eat less and exercise more.  Very hard to execute. Very few people do it.

The concept is best articulated in their discussion on product development: “Bet on Technical Insights, not market research.”  A technical insight is a solution that emerges only after a very deep understanding of a topic; something that addresses the absolute core of a problem or a need (as opposed to tackling symptoms).  Schmidt and Rosenberg define a Technical Insight as “a new way of applying technology or design that either drives down the cost or increases the functions and usability of the product by a significant factor.   A “significant factor” means that the results of using a Technical Insight should be “obvious” and clear to any user, requiring very little marketing.

For example, when Google was developing the original search algorithm, the Insight was that the best results would be dependent not just identifying the content of the website, but having a understanding of the context of the website.  The standard Search approach at the time was to find the optimal match between the search terms and the content of website. They added on a layer of context to evaluate the quality of the website (i.e. :how many pages link to it, and what type of web pages). The insight was coming up with a way to judge the quality of page that took into account more than just surface level matching.

To me, this approach is similar to a “First principles” thinking concept: You get to the very core or essence of the use case or problem you are looking at, and then build out from there.
To be clear: you can still have a great success and progress by taking an incremental approach: this means using your competitive advantages to move into adjacent markets or make improvement in pricing, marketing or distribution.  Such strategies CAN be well-served by market research and are useful for established businesses, looking for steady growth in healthy markets.  But, when you need 10x growth, or when you’re fundamentally trying to disrupt an industry with a new product, you need to get to that technical insight that is true shift in how to solve the use case.

“Going Deep” applies to more than just product development, but people development (hiring and promoting), goal setting, and decision-making.   When you’re really looking to achieve superior performance in any of these areas, there are no lightweight solutions.  It’s time and money and effort. Of course, not everything can take this approach, and you can certainly achieve great performance allowing incremental progress to compound over time.  But the Google approach is to strives for 10x changes, that’s how the company is designed, it is the underlying architecture of the “Operating System” as it were, behind How Google Works.

Book Bites: Creative Selection

“People are fallible and computers are unforgiving”  Came across this sentence in reference to a computer bug.  It explains so much about Product Management and Engineering.

Three Key Takeaways from “How to Fail at Almost Everything and Still Win Big” by Scott Adams

Scott Adams is the author of the popular comic strip Dilbert.  I decided to read How to Fail at Almost Everything and Still Win Big after hearing Scott talk through his approach to success on podcasts and other interviews.  I recommend this book for anyone interested in self-improvement for a few reasons:  1) the recommendations are extremely practical 2) it’s well-written (i.e Scott gets to the point, doesn’t add a lot of fluff, and there’s a good amount of humor as well) and 3) there some new and interesting ideas in there that will likely change your perspective on things.   Below are my three key-takeaways:

1.  Willpower is a Scarce Resource:

This is the most important concept in the book in my opinion.  It’s one of those ideas that seems obvious, but is rarely applied or talked about in the context of self-improvement.  The idea is that since Willpower is a scarce resource, you can’t rely on it to help you overcome ALL your problems or drive towards your goals.  On the contrary, relying on Willpower is a surefire way to fail.

I think there is tendency, particular with people who have used Willpower effectively in their lives, to believe that it is a renewable resource; that we can continually push ourselves by sheer force of our “wills” or mental toughness to move forwards and make progress towards our goals.    If we fail in our diets it’s because we lacked willpower;  if you don’t go to the gym as often as you want, it’s lack of willpower;  if you didn’t produce a good enough result at work, it’s because you lacked willpower…and so on.

Scott calls bullshit on this line of thinking and asks us to acknowledge that Willpower is a scarce resource.  Just like you can only drive a certain number of miles on a tank of gas, you can only use a certain amount of Willpower on any given day.   If your gas tank is close to empty you’re probably not going to take a lot of detours to tourist attractions until you get to gas station.

Of course you need willpower to succeed.  It is required to do anything hard and can lead to amazing results, often beyond your wildest dreams. So the Big Idea is to organize your life so that you are using Willpower in the most effective way possible.  If you take anything away from this book it’s the idea that you need to use your Willpower wisely.

2.  Systems Instead of Goals:

A key concept for the efficient use of Willpower is using Systems instead of Goals to guide your behavior.   Systems Thinking combines of the idea of “process over results” with a hint of “shortcuts” or simplification.  The idea is replace Willpower with systems as much as possible.

This seems counter-intuitive.  Don’t you need clear goals in order to make sure you’re doing the right things and to measure that you’re actually getting closer to them?  Maybe, but there is real psychological issue with this approach: while you’re striving for you goals you’re in constant state of near-failure.  You might be tracking towards your goal, but you’re also one wrong move away from going down the wrong path.  This just puts you in bad mental state, drains your energy, and makes it harder for you to do the things you need to do to succeed.

Systems on the other hand put you in a state of constant, if small, successes. This increases your energy and makes it easier for you do the things you need to do.  Ultimately it conserves your Willpower for the truly hard tasks.

Naval Ravikant has a quote I like that sums this idea up well:  “Desire is a contract you make with yourself to be unhappy until you get what you want.”  A goals-oriented approach puts you in this constant desire state.  A Systems approach gives you positive momentum and reduces your reliance on Willpower.

3. Maximizing Energy: 

Prioritization is a common theme in the self-improvement literature. It’s also one of the hardest things to do.  Scott has a system for Prioritization and it is simple (not easy, but simple):  do things that maximize your personal energy.   I think of personal energy as the opposite of Willpower.  Things that increase your energy require minimal or zero Willpower.   Is skiing your absolute favorite thing to do? You could probably drive 2 hours in a car with a crying baby and it could barely tap into your will power.  You’ll probably feel your energy build up as you get closer to the mountain.   However, those same two hours would likely require immense will power if you’re driving to a Thanksgiving dinner with your dysfunctional family.  Think about how you feel walking towards the front door of that house.

To be clear: maximizing energy is not the same “do what you love.”  It’s more about understanding how you operate and acknowledging that there are activities that drain your energy and ones that increase it.  And since activities that drain energy require Willpower, be wary of doing them since they become obstacles towards to your success.    The idea is that as you go about prioritizing your time, be sure to place extra value on things that maximize your energy because it will ultimately lead to betters results in everything you need to do.

NOTE: There is a special category of things that increase Energy, like exercise and diet, that do require regular use of Willpower.  However, the tradeoff is worth it because doing those things will ultimately put you in a better state to take on other tasks in your life.  Scott also offers some systems on how to approach these types of activities

 

What am doing about it?

The next step for me is to do what I’m calling a  “systems assessment.”  I’m going to under which systems I’m using today (without necessarily knowing it) and then assess which areas of my life I should try and apply systems.

What is Business? What is Art?

It’s more than just the ability to earn a profit over a sustainable operation.  It’s a group of people working to do that, in infinite permutations, constantly changing.  New ideas vs. tried and true.  At its worst, business represents the crudest elements of life: ignoring all morals and ethics and regard for another person, in order to earn a profit.  At it its best, business represents the most redeeming aspects of humanity: the ability to cooperate, each person doing their part, each person benefiting from the joint efforts.

Business is more about the idea of earning a profit, rather than earning it.  Many businesses will fail, or will fail to earn a profit in some years, or never at all.  But they’re still businesses.  The striving is what matters

This is differs from art then. Art is about the creation / expression of ideas, beauty, love.  Things our words alone cannot express.  It can be analyzed like business, but not judged.  Is that were the difference is?  If a business cannot earn profit, it may be a lot of things, have a lot of good ideas and rational decisions, but it cannot be deemed successful business.

Art, on the other hand, cannot be judged as systematically. It could take centuries to determine the success of an art piece.  Further, success in one century could be different in another.  How many of today’s pop masterpieces will be forgotten?  how many of yesterday’s failed creations are today highly praised?  Sure some business ideas may successful in different era’s, but that’s the idea not the business itself.

Business is temporary, fleeting, a product of the people conducting it at the time. With no people, there is no business. Art is timeless, it lives after the death of people creating it.